Wednesday, February 7, 2007

International Friendlies

Tonight we have a number of International friendly games.

Most teams we'll test some young players, try new systems... so it's definitely not worth betting, especially on the favourites. As i was checking the list one match got my attention:

It's Slovenia vs Estonia. Slovenia have a better team so all the bookmares have them as favourites with odds around 1.60. Personally i have Slovenia in "dark list". Very often they "surprise" u by not winning far weaker teams. Is it because they can't, or they have some bad nights? I think there is something much more than that.

Only in Betfair alone, Slovenia has taken €664,475 out of the €677,275 placed on this match

My instinct says that Slovenia won't win... so just to check how well my instinct is working at the moment i'll make a prediction that we'll have a draw (3.90), under 2.5 goals (1.84) and 1-1 score (8.00)

0 comments: